The GOP needs to capture 6 seats to reach 51 votes in the Senate. That seems well within reach given that MOST people seem to be projecting that…

…The GOP will win in Alaska (Sullivan), Arkansas (Cotton), Colorado (Gardner), Iowa (Ernst), Louisiana (Cassidy), South Dakota (Rounds), Montana (Daines), West Virginia (Capito)

…Republicans hold in Georgia (Perdue) & Kentucky (McConnell).

…Democrats will hold in New Hampshire (Shaheen), North Carolina (Hagan), Virgina (Warner).

…Pretend Independent Greg Orman will win in Kansas.

Election Projection: 7
The Washington Post’s Election Lab: 8
Erick Erickson: 8
Sean Hannity: 8
John Hawkins: 8
Larry Sabato: 8
Nate Silver: 8

What are the biggest potential surprises?

Well, Hagan has consistently led Tillis by a small margin in North Carolina, but she’s also a well known, incumbent senator who seems to be topping out at about 44-45% in the polls. That could very well mean that undecided voters will break hard for Tillis and put him over the top.

In Kansas, Orman would seem be in almost the same position as Tillis in North Carolina. He’s up against an incumbent senator who’s topping out well below 50%. On the other hand, Kansas has sent Republicans to the Senate since 1932 and you have to wonder if Roberts is short of 50% because a lot of bitter Milton Wolf supporters have been making him sweat it out. That makes Kansas the toughest race overall to predict.

You also can’t count Scott Brown out in New Hampshire. Shaheen has been consistently ahead by a small margin, but Brown has been surging at the end of the race and if Shaheen is ahead, it’s by the skin of her teeth.

That means in a perfect world, the GOP could win 11 seats. Since seats often tend to break one way or the other in wave elections like this, that’s not outside the realm of possibility.

On the other hand, to hold the Senate, the Democrats would need to win all the races they’re favored in AND they’d need a couple of surprises. Their best bets would be for Braley to knock off Ernst and for Begich to surprise Sullivan in Alaska, a state that’s notorious for having unreliable polling data.

http://www.rightwingnews.com/elections-p...dits-pollsters/

Forget the pundits and pollsters. What does YOUR gut tell YOU?

I will go first: 11 seats go Republican, Ernst, Brown, Sullivan, Tillis, Garner, Cassidy, Perdue, Roberts, Cotton, Daines, and Capito. McConnell will bury Grimes, too.

Obama will help us carry the day; however, the only thing which can upset my undeniably brilliant analysis is voter fraud. So if my prediction proves in error that's my out.

So stand up like a man, or sit down like a woman, and give us your predictions.

Brown will win NH due to low Rat enthusiasm. The race is so tight, RINO turnout will win the day.

Brown will win NH due to low Rat enthusiasm.

Interesting you should cite Brown's chances because Mark Steyn, a resident of NH, has a column about him today which makes a larger and very important point.

Steyn notes he received an election flyer today which stated:

"SCOTT BROWN HAS A
STRONG RECORD OF FIGHTING
FOR WHAT IS RIGHT.

SCOTT IS PRO-CHOICE & SUPPORTS
ISSUES IMPORTANT TO WOMEN."

He then goes on to say the flyer didn't come from Brown but from "the New Hampshire Republican State Committee."

So? one might ask. Because the NH Republican Party's platform asserts ProLife principles: "We believe that life is sacred, from conception to natural death and that we cannot diminish the value of one category of human life without diminishing the value of all human life."

Thus, Mark notes, the NH Republicans are adopting Democrat rhetoric but even worse are contradicting what they claim are its own fundamental values. Even worse, "The subtext of its flyer is: We don't mean it. We don't mean anything. Usually we wait until Wednesday morning to start selling you out, but this year we need to do it upfront.", and, "And let me emphasize the larger point: The Republican State Committee has swallowed Democrat framing of the issue hook, line and sinker. They do that not just on abortion but on immigration and a zillion other issues. And you wonder why, even when they win, nothing changes? Tonight may well see a nominal victory for Republicans, but they remain a party for losers."

He's right, of course. Even if we take the Senate, and even if it was with a veto proof majority, too many in the GOPe are mere opportunists who cannot be trusted to abide by what they claim are Party principles. That's sad but it's true, and it's the mindset of McConnell and Boehner.

http://www.steynonline.com/6645/election-day