I follow Realclearpolitics.com daily to get a sense of the polls.
Today Clinton is ahead by 3.2% in the average of all polls.
Fridays dump of NBC/WSJ/Marist 4 state polls used registered voters (between 800-900), with margin of error 3.5%. Clinton ahead by 6 - 9 points.
Today's WA Post/ABC general election poll was among a "random national sampling of 1,003 adults, with 873 registered voters" with a margin of Error 3.5%. Clinton ahead by 4 points.
Today's NBC/WSJ general election poll was among "1,000 registered voters" with a margin of error of 3.1%. Clinton ahead by 5 points.
Today's CBS/NYT general election poll was among 1,600 adults, 1,358 registered voters, was a tie between the candidates, 40% vs. 40%, with a margin of error of 3.0%.
Only the Ramussen polls of 1,000 likely voters showed Trump ahead by 7 points, with a margin of error of 3.0%.
Most of the polls were conducted by July 15th. One was conducted on the 16th.
None of the polls broke down Democrats and Republicans, but if you go into the weeds of the actual questions you can find a number of "nuanced" interesting questions and probably draw some conclusions. I certainly drew mine.
Quote: truthkeeper wrote in post #1I follow Realclearpolitics.com daily to get a sense of the polls.
Today Clinton is ahead by 3.2% in the average of all polls.
Fridays dump of NBC/WSJ/Marist 4 state polls used registered voters (between 800-900), with margin of error 3.5%. Clinton ahead by 6 - 9 points.
Today's WA Post/ABC general election poll was among a "random national sampling of 1,003 adults, with 873 registered voters" with a margin of Error 3.5%. Clinton ahead by 4 points.
Today's NBC/WSJ general election poll was among "1,000 registered voters" with a margin of error of 3.1%. Clinton ahead by 5 points.
Today's CBS/NYT general election poll was among 1,600 adults, 1,358 registered voters, was a tie between the candidates, 40% vs. 40%, with a margin of error of 3.0%.
Only the Ramussen polls of 1,000 likely voters showed Trump ahead by 7 points, with a margin of error of 3.0%.
Most of the polls were conducted by July 15th. One was conducted on the 16th.
None of the polls broke down Democrats and Republicans, but if you go into the weeds of the actual questions you can find a number of "nuanced" interesting questions and probably draw some conclusions. I certainly drew mine.
So...any thoughts?
I had posted a link to the recent Rasmussen poll....
******* "Maybe God is trying to tell us something important- that now is not the time for a “nice Christian guy” or a “gentleman” or a typical Republican powder puff. Maybe now is the time for a natural born killer, a ruthless fighter, a warrior. Because right about now we need a miracle, or America is finished. Maybe the rules of gentleman don’t apply here. Maybe a gentleman and “all-around nice Christian” would lead us to slaughter." Wayne Allyn Root
This video gives a July 14 analysis of the polls....
******* "Maybe God is trying to tell us something important- that now is not the time for a “nice Christian guy” or a “gentleman” or a typical Republican powder puff. Maybe now is the time for a natural born killer, a ruthless fighter, a warrior. Because right about now we need a miracle, or America is finished. Maybe the rules of gentleman don’t apply here. Maybe a gentleman and “all-around nice Christian” would lead us to slaughter." Wayne Allyn Root
Poll: Trump Leads Clinton by 11 Points with Independents
******* "Maybe God is trying to tell us something important- that now is not the time for a “nice Christian guy” or a “gentleman” or a typical Republican powder puff. Maybe now is the time for a natural born killer, a ruthless fighter, a warrior. Because right about now we need a miracle, or America is finished. Maybe the rules of gentleman don’t apply here. Maybe a gentleman and “all-around nice Christian” would lead us to slaughter." Wayne Allyn Root
This far out I personally wouldn't put much stock in the polls. They have a tendency to be weighted with Democrats. Its sort of a psy ops campaign to demoralize those who would vote against the Dem candidate.
I only start to pay attention to them about mid-October. And then of course the only real poll that matters is election day.