Democrats’ Hopes Sinking– Republican David Jolly is leading Democrat Alex Sink with just three precincts remaining in the Florida special congressional election for District 13. The race is to replace Republican Rep. C.W. Bill Young, who passed away last October.
UPDATE: Election called—
The Associated Press ✔ @AP Follow
BREAKING: Republican David Jolly wins Fla. congressional special election in test race over health care. 7:48 PM - 11 Mar 2014
The Politico reported:
After almost $9 million in outside spending, a storm of attacks and counterattacks and endless speculation about its implications for the midterms, voters have cast their ballots in the Florida special congressional election on Tuesday.
The stakes are particularly high for Democrats. The party has bet big on Alex Sink, Florida’s former chief financial officer and the Democrats’ 2010 gubernatorial nominee, in the race for the swing 13th Congressional District, which encompasses part of the St. Petersburg area. A win, Democrats hope, will deflate the conventional wisdom that 2014 is destined to go south for them.
For the GOP, the race has been an opportunity to test-drive attacks on Obamacare, which are certain to be the centerpiece of its argument in this year’s midterm elections. And while national Republicans complain that their candidate, former Washington lobbyist David Jolly, has been lackluster, public polling suggests the race is tight.
FLASHBACK: Stuart Rothenberg Called Florida Race 'Must-Win' for Democrats
It’s rare in politics that anything other than a presidential contest is viewed as a “must win” — but the special election in Florida’s 13th District falls into that category for Democrats.
A loss in the competitive March 11 contest would almost certainly be regarded by dispassionate observers as a sign that President Barack Obama could constitute an albatross around the neck of his party’s nominees in November. And that could make it more difficult for Democratic candidates, campaign committees and interest groups to raise money and energize the grass roots.
Fundamentally, the district, left vacant by the death of longtime Republican Rep. C.W. Bill Young, looks competitive but has a slight Democratic tinge. Barack Obama carried it 52 percent to 48 percent in 2008, but he had a more narrow victory four years later, when he won 50 percent to 49 percent.
******************* “The Marxians love of democratic institutions was a stratagem only, a pious fraud for the deception of the masses. Within a socialist community there is no room left for freedom.” ¯ Ludwig von Mises
Given that this is from Politico it may not be the most reliable source about the Jolly/Sink race, but it does contain some interesting tidbits.
(1) Jolly was not the GOPe's chosen candidate and even though the NRCC (and Rove) wound up supporting him financially, Jolly and they were never in sync.
(2) To date, Jolly has raised $1 million to Sink’s $2.5 million. Which makes his victory even sweeter and kinda gives the lie to the idea having more money is what wins campaigns.
(3) The NRCC has spent nearly $2 million in the race, precious resources that could be used to help other candidates this year. But on at least two occasions, Jolly declined to say he would back Boehner as speaker. After the second response, Jolly sent out a tweet clarifying that, indeed, he would back Boehner. I wonder how firm that commitment is.
I hope this bore Sink didn't sign the papers yet on that new house she had to buy so she would actually live in the district she was hoping to represent.