Here's Denninger's take on the election. There are some very interesting comments:

How I See The Presidential Race
2016-01-26 07:00 by Karl Denninge

We have about a week before the Iowa caucuses meet.

Cruz's support on a national basis is basically collapsing; he now trails Trump by almost half. That is, Trump has roughly 35% of the vote, with Cruz coming in at 19%. Palin didn't do Cruz any favors with her endorsement of Trump, and in addition Cruz managed to get the Iowa governor to come out explicitly against him for his stand on ethanol.

In Iowa Cruz is down a few percent (4) from the last poll, but now trails Trump 34-23. Rubio is at 12, down 3. Absent at least one of the front-runners blowing his own brains out none of the others are in the game. Sorry Jebbie, go home and perform an anatomically impossible act; it's what you're best at.

In New Hampshire Trump has a commanding lead with more than double Cruz's support.

Here's the problem for the "establishment" Republicans -- they're running out of time and money isn't doing them a bit of good. Trump hasn't had to spend anything at all to get where he is while everyone else is blowing money like a Navy dude in a *****house after six months at sea -- but all they have to show for it is masturbatory fantasies. Post New Hampshire as a candidate you've got two weeks, roughly, and then you either have the numbers to be serious or you're done, which means we're about four weeks out from this race being down to either two -- or over.

Yeah, yeah, I know, everyone says it's Super Tuesday. Uh uh. If you can't put up numbers by the time South Carolina and Nevada have counted 'em up you're cooked. Yes, people have a week or so to think about it in the other states but you can't blitz 'em all even with infinite money (which nobody has); the real problem is time.

You have to be within shooting distance on March 1st, and the trends are nobody friend except one in this game right now.

And that leads me to the Democrats.

Everyone still thinks Hillary gets nominated. I think she gets indicted or worse, Lynch refuses to indict or tries to sidestep the process and the FBI director quits and endorses either Trump or worse, Sanders. The latter might well take half the caucus with him.

Never mind the optics; the practicalities of a Lynch refusal to bring an indictment (or sidestep) are hideous for the nation. There's a clean case to be made that espionage becomes basically impossible to prosecute post this event if she does refuse in this case, and she knows that. Lynch is a career political hack but she's not completely insane. I think she'll indict, not because she wants to (although I suspect Obama does want to see Hillary burn) but because she knows she has to.

That leaves Sanders, nuts though he is, and really nobody else. Oh yeah, Bloomberg is rattling his saber about an "independent bid" but he'd have a hell of a time getting on the ballot in all 50 states. Throwing money around is always an option but the optics on that are terrible and inescapable too. I'd love to see him run as there would be nothing that would give me more pleasure than to see that cocksucking jackass play cash furnace with $250 million or more of his own money and get not one Electoral College vote out of it.

Trump .v. Sanders?

EC goes 400+ Trump.

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